Week 12 features a number of intriguing matchups featuring CFB Top 25 teams as the College Football Playoff race heats up. However, all eyes will be on the two ranked Pac-12 teams as the No. 7 USC Trojans take on the No. 16 UCLA Bruins in a crosstown rivalry game at the Rose Bowl.
Caleb Williams and the Trojans hope to strengthen their playoff case with another ranked win, while Dorian Thompson-Robinson, Zach Charbonnet, and the Bruins hope to play spoiler.
Elsewhere in the country, the No. 3 Michigan Wolverines face a scrappy Illinois Fighting Illini team in a game featuring two of the country’s best running backs, Heisman Trophy candidate Blake Corum and the nation’s leading rusher, Chase Brown. The No. 4 TCU Horned Frogs will face Baylor in Waco, while the No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes will face the unranked Maryland Terrapins.
We have everything you need to make your betting decisions ahead of Week 12 with plenty of questions and games to wager on this weekend.
Thursday
Tulane at No. 21 SMU (-3, 65)
- 7:30 p.m. Yulman Stadium, New Orleans, Louisiana, ET on ESPN
- Tulane is 8-2 ATS this season, tied for the third-best cover percentage in the FBS with Tennessee and Oregon State.
- Tulane is 14-4 ATS as a home favorite since the start of the 2019 season, ranking third in the FBS in that time period.
- Tulane is 20-8 ATS as a favorite since the start of the 2019 season, which is tied for the fourth-best such cover percentage in the FBS.
- SMU’s last four games against ranked opponents have all finished under the total.
Saturday
Navy vs. No. 20 UCF (-16.5, 53)
- 11 a.m. ESPN2, FBC Mortgage Stadium, Orlando, Florida, 7:00 p.m. ET
- This season, Navy is 5-0 ATS as a double-digit underdog. This is the season’s most covers without a loss as a double-digit underdog.
- This season, Navy is 4-0 ATS on the road, tied for the best road cover percentage in the FBS.
- As an underdog, Navy is 6-1 ATS in its last seven games.
- UCF has covered the last three games.
Illinois vs. No. 3 Michigan (-17.5, 43)
- Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan, 12 p.m. ET on ABC
- Since the start of last season, Illinois is 5-1 ATS as a road underdog, the second-best such cover percentage in the Big Ten.
- Illinois has gone 6-1 ATS in its last seven games.
- This season, Michigan has gone over the total in only two of its nine games. This season, the Wolverines’.222 over percentage is the lowest in the Big Ten.
- Since the start of last season, Michigan is 15-6 ATS as a favorite, the best such cover percentage in the Big Ten.
TCU (-3, 56.5) visits Baylor.
- McLane Stadium, Waco, Texas, 12:00 p.m. ET
- TCU is 8-1-1 ATS this season, which is the best cover percentage in the FBS.
- TCU has won 12 of the last 15 meetings with Baylor.
- This season, TCU is 6-1-1 ATS as a favorite and 4-0-1 ATS on the road.
- Since the 2011 season, Baylor has covered 11 of its last 15 games as a home underdog.
No. 19 Florida State vs. Louisiana (-23.5, 52.5)
- Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida, at noon ET on ESPN3.
- Florida State has won all three of its games this season.
- Since the start of last season, Florida State is 5-1 ATS in games played in November or later.
- Since the start of the 2019 season, Louisiana is 9-3 ATS as an underdog, tied for the third-best such cover percentage in the FBS.
- Louisiana’s last three games against winning teams have all gone under the total.
West Virginia (-7.5, 55) at No. 15 Kansas State
- 2 p.m. Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, West Virginia, ET on ESPN+
- Since the start of the 2019 season, Kansas State is 14-6-1 ATS as a favorite, the best such cover percentage in the Big 12.
- This season, all three of Kansas State’s games against teams with a losing record have gone under the total.
- This season, four of West Virginia’s five home games have gone over the total.
- West Virginia has won four of its last five meetings with Kansas State.
No. 18 Notre Dame vs. Boston College (-21, 46)
- 2:30 p.m. Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, Indiana, 3 p.m. ET
- This season, Notre Dame is 0-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite.
- This season, Notre Dame is 0-4 ATS against teams with losing records.
- Notre Dame has covered all three of its meetings with Boston College.
- This season, Boston College is 1-4 ATS on the road.
Georgia (-22.5, 49) vs. Kentucky
- 3:30 p.m. Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky, 4:00 p.m. ET
- Kentucky is 1-9 on the over this season, tied for the lowest over percentage in the FBS with Colorado State.
- This season, Kentucky’s five games against teams with winning records have all gone under the total.
- Georgia is 12-3 ATS as a road favorite since the start of the 2019 season, ranking third in the SEC in that time.
- Since the start of last season, Georgia is 6-1 ATS on the road, the best road cover percentage in the SEC.
No. 2 Ohio State vs. Maryland (-27.5, 63
- 3:30 p.m. SECU Stadium in College Park, Maryland, airs on ABC.
- Maryland is tied with Cincinnati for the longest active cover losing streak in the FBS, having failed to cover each of its last five games.
- Following a straight-up loss, Maryland has failed to cover eight of its last ten games.
- Each of Maryland’s last seven meetings with Ohio State has gone over the total.
- Since the start of the 2017 season, 17 of Ohio State’s 24 road games have gone over the total.
Miami vs. No. 9 Clemson (-19.5, 46.5)
- 3:30 p.m. Memorial Stadium, Clemson, South Carolina, 4:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Miami is 2-8 ATS this season, tied for the FBS’s second-worst cover percentage.
- This season, Miami is 1-5 ATS in conference play, tied for the lowest such cover percentage in the ACC with NC State.
- Miami has been a double-digit underdog four times in the last six seasons. In the previous three meetings, the Hurricanes were 0-3 ATS.
- Clemson has covered all three of its meetings with Miami.
- Since the start of last season, Clemson is 3-9 ATS as a double-digit favorite.
Penn State (-19.5, 45) at Rutgers
- 3:30 p.m. SHI Stadium, Piscataway, New Jersey, ET
- This season, Penn State is 3-0 ATS as a road favorite.
- This season, Penn State’s four road games have all gone over the total.
- The total has been under in each of the last eight meetings between Penn State and Rutgers.
- Since the start of last season, Rutgers is 1-5 ATS as a home underdog.
No. 24 North Carolina State vs. Louisville (-5, 47.5)
- 3:30 p.m. Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, Kentucky, 7:00 p.m. ET on ACC Network
- This season, Louisville is 3-0 ATS as a home favorite.
- This season, NC State is 0-3 ATS on the road.
- In six of their last seven games, NC State has failed to cover the spread.
- This season, NC State is 1-5 ATS in conference play, tied for the worst such cover percentage in the ACC with Miami.
Texas (-9) vs. Kansas (64).
- 3:30 p.m. Lawrence, Kansas, David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, ET
- This season, Texas is 3-0 ATS after a straight-up loss.
- This season, Kansas is 4-0-1 ATS at home, the best such cover percentage in the Big 12.
- Kansas is 7-2-1 ATS this season, ranking second in the Big 12.
- Kansas has covered all five of its previous meetings with Texas.
No. 13 North Carolina visits Georgia Tech (-20, 63.5)
- 5:30 p.m. Kenan Stadium in Chapel Hill, North Carolina, at 2:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
- The total has been exceeded in nine of the last eleven meetings between Georgia Tech and North Carolina.
- As an underdog, Georgia Tech has covered four of its last five games.
- Georgia Tech has now gone over the total three times in a row.
- As a double-digit favorite, North Carolina has failed to cover each of its last four games.
Tennessee (-21.5, 65) vs. South Carolina
- 7 p.m. Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, South Carolina, 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Tennessee is 8-2 ATS this season, tied for the third-best cover percentage in the FBS with Tulane and Oregon State.
- This season, Tennessee is 7-1 ATS as a favorite and 5-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite.
- Tennessee and South Carolina have gone over the total in each of their last three meetings.
- This season, South Carolina’s three games against teams with winning records all went under the total.
No. 14 Ole Miss (-3) at Arkansas
- 7:30 p.m. Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas, 7:00 p.m. ET on SEC Network
- Arkansas has won eight of its last nine games against Ole Miss.
- As an underdog, Arkansas is 13-6-1 ATS in its last 20 games.
- Since the start of last season, Ole Miss has gone under the total in all six games played in November or later.
- Ole Miss has gone over the total in three of its last four games and four of its last five.
No. 7 USC (-2.5, 74.5) visits No. 16 UCLA.
- 8 p.m. Pasadena, California, ET, Rose Bowl
- The total has been exceeded in each of the last four meetings between USC and UCLA.
- USC has now gone over the total in four straight games.
- Since the start of the 2016 season, USC is 1-6 ATS when the spread is between -3 and +3.
- Since the start of last season, UCLA is 4-1 ATS after a straight-up loss.
UAB vs. No. 6 LSU (-14.5, 52.5)
- 8 p.m. Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, Louisiana, at 2:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
- This season, UAB is 0-4 ATS on the road.
In four of its last five games, UAB has failed to cover the spread.
This season, UAB has gone under the total in all three of its non-conference games.
This season, LSU is 5-1 ATS at home, good for the SEC’s second-best home cover percentage.
Colorado plays No. 17 Washington (-30, 62.5)
- 9 p.m. Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington, ET
- This season, Colorado is 0-5 ATS on the road.
- Colorado is 2-8 ATS this season, the Pac-12’s worst cover percentage.
- This season, Colorado has been a double-digit underdog in every game.
- Washington has failed to cover in all five of its previous games as a favorite.
No. 10 Utah vs. No. 12 Oregon (-3, 62.5)
- 10:30 p.m. Autzen Stadium, Eugene, Oregon, ET on ESPN
- Since the start of the 2017 season, Utah has gone 5-0 ATS as a road underdog.
- Since the start of the 2020 season, Utah is 3-0 ATS as an underdog.
- This season, four of Oregon’s five home games have gone over the total.
- Four of Oregon’s last five games have been covered.
