Napoli will hold the lead in the Serie A standings going into the break for the World Cup. How much of a margin will there be? Kevin Dolan, a soccer handicapper for WagerTalk, gives his thoughts on the match between Napoli and Udinese that will take place in Italy on Saturday.
Napoli vs Udinese Betting Odds
| Saturday, November 12 | Italian Serie A Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| Napoli: | -225 |
| Udinese: | +500 |
| Draw: | +360 |
| Total: | 3 Goals (Odds Above Courtesy of OKBET |
| Game Time: | 9:00am ET / 6:00am PT |
Betting Analysis of the Napoli vs. Udinese Matchup
Napoli increased its lead at the top of the Serie A table on Tuesday night by defeating Empoli 2-0 at home. Empoli is currently in last place in the league.
In that match, the home team won all three points thanks to goals scored by Hirving Lozano and Piotr Zielinski in the second half. They will look to continue their winning streak here in their final game before taking almost two months off from league play in order to focus on the World Cup, which begins later this month.
Udinese is coming off of a disappointing 1-1 draw against Spezia in the middle of the week, a result which continued their current seven-game winless run across all competitions since the beginning of October. Given the manner in which Andrea Sotill’s squad is currently performing in comparison to the dominant group that is currently running away with the league on Saturday, it seems unlikely that they will be successful in their attempt to put an end to this win streak.
Read more: OKBET Serie A Betting odds & Predictions: AC Milan vs. Fiorentina match preview
Udinese has not defeated Napoli in any competition in well over six years, and their record against Napoli in Naples is even worse than it is overall. Ahead of their match on Saturday, Udinese has a losing streak in this stadium that now stands at nine games.
Udinese Still Robust Despite Recent Struggles
Udinese got off to a blistering start to the season, winning six of its first eight games. However, since the beginning of October, things have gone mostly in the wrong direction for them, and they are currently stuck in the middle of the table.
There is no team in the league that has been able to come back from more losing positions than Udinese have this year. Nevertheless, despite their recent problems, Udinese has been a difficult obstacle for their opponents to overcome this season. Additionally, Udineses has one of the best defensive xGA numbers in the league over the course of the previous month.
The Supporting Cast of Napoli Keeps Delivering Important Contributions
Despite the fact that the Neapolitans had a difficult time breaking down Empoli’s defense for a good portion of Tuesday’s game, their bench once again performed admirably. This season, Napoli has scored the most goals from substitute positions out of any team competing in any of Europe’s top five leagues. They have scored nine goals from these positions.
This year in Serie A, Napoli’s offense has been one of their greatest strengths, as evidenced by their position as the top team in terms of both total scoring and total shots taken, as well as offensive expected goals.
Prediction for Napoli’s Match Against Udinese
The obvious struggles that Udinese has been having since the beginning of October mean that this matchup between Napoli and pass is the only option for Saturday.
Udinese’s only positive numbers over that stretch came from their defense, but Napoli’s numbers absolutely dwarf Udinese’s this season on both home/road form split this year and recency bias also. Napoli’s numbers absolutely dwarf Udinese’s this season.
In spite of the fact that they have been performing so well as of late, Udinese will need a lot of good fortune in order to prevent Napoli’s offense from scoring here. Napoli’s offense is currently the best in the league, averaging 2.43 goals per game (2.57 at home). Despite the fact that some -1.25 lines had already begun to appear at the time that this article was being written, getting Napoli at the widely available -1 line here on Saturday against Udinese appears to be the value play for this weekend’s matchup.
Tips for Betting on the Premier League During Stoppage Time
As the Premier League heads into its final match day before the World Cup break, Arsenal will continue to hold the top spot in the standings, while Newcastle will remain in third place. Who could have predicted that happening three months ago?! Join Carmine Bianco, Kevin Dolan, Pavlos Laguretos, and Nick Borrman for Stoppage Time as we take a look ahead at some of the most anticipated Premier League matches for the upcoming weekend.
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